Author = Nowzar Shafiee
Number of Articles: 3
Security “Hedging”: An Analysis of Chinas Strategy in Confronting the US in Southeast Asia

Security “Hedging”: An Analysis of China's Strategy in Confronting the US in Southeast Asia

Volume 27, Issue 3, Autumn 2024, Pages 155-185

https://doi.org/10.22034/srq.2024.486724.4211

Maryam Derakhshandeh Lazarjani, Nowzar Shafiee

Abstract Introduction The rise of China as a major power is one of the most significant developments in global politics in the 21st century. As a result, this has sparked concerns from the United States and Southeast Asian countries. In response, Washington has implemented its grand strategy to enhance deterrence and maintain the balance of power in Asia through the "Pivot to Asia" and "Indo-Pacific" strategies. Chinese leadership, on the other hand, views these American strategies as intensifying the security dilemma in the region, which not only increases the likelihood of direct confrontation, but also poses a serious challenge to China's growth trajectory. Given the current situation and China's desire for economic development and strategic engagement with Washington, the question is “What strategy should Beijing adopt to avoid being harmed by pressure from the United States and its allies in Southeast Asia?” China's actions suggest that it has adopted what is known as a "hedging" strategy to secure its strategic interests while avoiding confrontation with the US. Indeed, it seeks to foster its development by leveraging its strategic engagement with the US. In other words, Beijing has endeavored to respond decisively but with strategic caution, to avoid conflict with the US, prevent anti-balancing coalitions (by Southeast Asian countries), and ensure the continuation of its power growth. The hedging strategy is a thoughtful approach that manifests as a cautious response to risks in a constructive, peaceful, and non-confrontational manner. It closely aligns with Beijing's peaceful diplomacy in the region, aimed at maximizing benefits and minimizing threats. In general, China's hedging strategy is based on two pillars: first, reassuring its surrounding environment (Southeast Asia) regarding the benign consequences of Beijing's growing power; and second, indirectly balancing the US through soft competition.   Methodology The article's hypothesis is examined through a descriptive-analytical method and involves two main variables: First, the independent variable, which includes the "Pivot to Asia" strategy—a form of rebalancing by the United States against China—and the "Indo-Pacific" strategy, which represents an aggressive policy by the United States towards China. Second, the dependent variable is China's hedging strategy.   Result and Discussion The relationship between China and the United States, as two major powers, has ranged from cooperation to competition over the past two decades. Throughout this period, Chinese political leaders (from the second generation of leadership to the present) have sought to secure their interests and respond to threats by addressing structural and domestic factors. In essence, China's foreign policy has been based on economic growth aimed at peaceful development and strategic caution in the face of security risks. This approach has enabled Beijing to take steady steps towards continued economic growth and, in parallel, enhance and stabilize its power in the region as it entered the new millennium. In the meantime, China's increasing role in Asia and its high potential to become a hegemon prompted the United States to operationalize its strategy to enhance deterrence and contain Beijing through the "Pivot to Asia" and "Indo-Pacific" strategies. In response, Beijing adopted the hedging strategy as its Asian policy.   Conclusion Beijing's hedging strategy is structured in two layers. The initial layer itself has two dimensions. The first pertains to the mutual dependency between Beijing and the United States, which China seeks to maintain and exploit to sustain its power growth. The second relates to China's growing security concerns regarding threats from the US, which may lead to a confrontation. These considerations have driven China to manage its relations carefully and avoid geopolitical competition with the US. The subsequent layer concerns Beijing's response to US actions in its surrounding environment, namely Southeast Asia. In this regard, Beijing has attempted to overcome challenges posed by the US by adopting a "reassurance approach" to weaken any coalitions against China.

entity in constructivism and public diplomacy: case study of china

entity in constructivism and public diplomacy: case study of china

Volume 16, Issue 59, Spring 2013, Pages 149-182

Nozar Shafiei, Roya Nezhad Zandieh

Abstract In recent years china has been an important actor in world affairs and tries to use diplomacy to achieve its goals. While, china focuses on public diplomacy because of its negative image near world public opinion that consider China as an economic threat. China in the way to improve its negative image works on public perception and tries to influence various nations to change its negative image and reconstruct its identity.

A Strategic Assessment of the Islamic Republic of Irans Foreign Policy toward Afghanistan

A Strategic Assessment of the Islamic Republic of Iran's Foreign Policy toward Afghanistan

Volume 6, Issue 22, Spring 2004, Pages 827-851

Nozar Shafiei

Abstract The Islamic Republic of Iran's policies in Afghanistan and their outcomes affect considerably other areas of foreign policy at the regional and international levels and as such are of strategic significance. On this basis, this article assesses the Islamic Republic of Iran's foreign policy toward Afghanistan during the 1990s from a strategic viewpoint and studies pathologically the factors influencing the Islamic Republic of Iran's decision-making in Afghanistan including the issues at hand for decision-making, those involved in decision-making, the process of decision-making, implementation of decisions and the outcomes of decisions. In this respect, the author replies to the substantial question that what positive or adverse consequences the Islamic Republic of Iran's polices in Afghanistan have had and what relationship exists between such consequences and decision-making methods in this area.   The author continues to describe general outlooks found in the Islamic Republic of Iran's decision-making apparatus toward Afghanistan and re-examines the existing viewpoints regarding the developments occurred following the May 1997 Presidential elections in Iran in this area of decision-making.