Strategic Studies Quarterly

Abstract This article aims to analyze the components of the deterrence policy adopted by Lebanon's Hezbollah and explains how it has been influenced by the crisis in Syria. The researcher argues that the Syrian crisis has led to an increase in the tactical and operational capabilities of Hezbollah, which, coupled with its enhanced technological and military power, has enabled it to present a greater threat. This means that the group's policy has the three main elements of deterrence, namely the ability to pose a threat, credible threat and the conveyance of a deterrent message. Israel's refusal to wage a war against Hezbollah shows that the movement's deterrence strategy has been successful. However, Hezbollah, due to the asymmetric nature of its strategies and tactics, needs to increase its deterrence posture in the face of Israel. The research adopted an analytical descriptive method and a library-based approach was used to gather the data.
 
 

Abstract The Syrian crisis has led to a very important restructure of power and region of groupings. With the analysis that President Assad's government over meant is going to be toppled down very soon, Turkey supported the Syrian a position in a very strong way. After extension of the crisis, the Syrian Kurdish party (PYD) which is equivalence of PKK for Turkey took the power in northern Syria which is located closer to southern Turkish border. In this situation, there I S I L and Turkey began to keep closed eye on it and became passive. This led to termination of peace process in Turkey and in the meantime labeled Turkey as supporter of t ISIL.  The authors of the paper believe that enjoying realism and ontology approach,  the Turkish approach against the I S I L can be analyzed;  it behavior that for the Turkish leaders is because of the absence of optimal options and security concerns.