مدل مفهومی جنگ ­شناختی در سپهر جنگ­‌های نوین با استفاده از روش فراترکیب

نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی- پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه سنجش از دور و سیستم اطلاعات جغرافیایی GIS، دانشکده جغرافیا، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.

2 گروه فلسفه امنیت، پژوهشکده مطالعات بنیادین، پژوهشگاه مطالعات امنیت و پیشرفت، تهران، ایران.

10.22034/ssq.2025.469702.4183
چکیده
جنگ شناختی مفهومی است که امروزه با رشد و فراگیری رسانه‌­های نوین، به شکلی برجسته در محافل علمی، امنیتی، سیاسی، اجتماعی و اقتصادی مورد توجه قرار گرفته است. جنگی که همانند سایر  جنگ­‌ها در غایت خود، نوعی از قدرت، برتری و بازدارندگی را به ارمغان می‌­آورد و می‌تواند معادلات و موازنات قدرت را به معنای سنتی برهم بزند. به نظر می­‌رسد که به‌رغم تعدد مطالعات کیفی انجام‌شده در خصوص جنگ شناختی، هنوز مختصات مفهومی دقیقی از این جنگ ترسیم نشده و نوعی ابهام و مناقشه در این حوزه وجود دارد. این در حالی است که تبیین مفهومی یک پدیده، ‌نقطه آغازین مطالعه در مورد آن می‌باشد، از این رو در این مقاله تلاش می‌­شود تبیینی جدید از مختصات مفهومی جنگ شناختی ارائه شود. به­‌منظور ارائه تفسیری جامع از مختصات مفهومی جنگ شناختی با استفاده از یکپارچه­‌سازی، ترجمه و مقایسه یافته‌­های مطالعات انجام‌شده در این حوزه، روش فراترکیب با الگوی لیپسی و ویلسون مورد استفاده قرار گرفت. در این راستا پس از جستجوی منابع علمی متعدد، تعداد 86 پژوهش وارد فرایند ارزیابی شد و پس از چند مرحله پالایش و تحلیل محتوایی و ساختاری مقالات،‌ تعداد 31 تحقیق به­‌عنوان ورودی فراترکیب، در نظر گرفته شد. پس از تجزیه‌وتحلیل و ترکیب اطلاعات استخراج‌شده از مقالات، مختصات مفهومی دوازده­‌گانه جنگ شناختی شامل ویژگی­‌ها، اهداف، ابزارهای مورداستفاده، سطوح، روش­‌ها و راهبردها، علائم تحقق، پیامدها، راه‌­های مقابله، مخاطبین، عرصه‌­های نبرد، مفاهیم نزدیک و رویکردهای کشورهای مختلف به جنگ شناختی، تبیین و مدل مفهومی جنگ شناختی ترسیم شد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

A Conceptual Model of Cognitive Warfare in the Context of Modern Warfare: A Meta-Synthesis Approach

نویسندگان English

saeid madadi 1
norullah norani 2
1 Member of the Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Group, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran. Tehran, Iran.
2 Faculty member of the Research Institute for Security and Development Studies. Tehran.Iran..
چکیده English

Introduction
Historical analysis indicates that confrontation between opposing forces has been a persistent and enduring feature of human societies. Over time, warfare has evolved from rudimentary tactics into increasingly complex and multidimensional systems. First- through fourth-generation wars, each characterized by distinct features, have collectively shaped the evolution of warfare. Since the early 1990s, however, human beings and social systems have emerged as central elements of conflict, giving rise to a novel cognitive dimension within the traditional domains of war.
Cognitive warfare fundamentally constitutes a battlefield of minds, where the primary goal is to manipulate and transform individuals’ perceptual frameworks, beliefs, values, and decision-making processes. In this arena, humans function not only as targets but also as instruments of strategic influence. By leveraging modern media, social engineering, cyber operations, and advanced technologies, cognitive warfare enables actors to impose their will on adversaries without direct physical confrontation.
Despite the increasing significance of cognitive warfare in military, political, and societal contexts, the literature remains fragmented, often addressing narrow aspects of the phenomenon. To date, no comprehensive conceptual framework has been established to systematically define its key characteristics. Accordingly, the present study employs a meta-synthesis approach to integrate and interpret existing research, aiming to develop a comprehensive conceptual model that elucidates the core dimensions of cognitive warfare and provides a clear operational understanding within the sphere of modern warfare.
Methodology
To provide a holistic interpretation of cognitive warfare’s conceptual dimensions, this study adopts a meta-synthesis methodology based on the Mark W. Lipsey and David B. Wilson framework. The research process included the following stages:

Formulation of research questions
Systematic literature review
Identification and screening of relevant studies
Data extraction from selected studies
Qualitative analysis and synthesis of findings
Assessment of reliability and validity (quality control)
Presentation of results (utilizing Shannon entropy)

During the systematic review, scholarly articles published between 2017 and 2023 were retrieved from reputable national and international databases. Of 92 studies, 31 were ultimately selected as the primary data sources for the meta-synthesis.
Data from these studies were coded and categorized as either domestic or international. Extracted codes were then integrated using a comparative approach and organized into conceptual categories. In the analytical phase, Shannon entropy was employed to evaluate the relative importance of each code and the extent of support it received within the literature.
The study’s validity was ensured through both quantitative and qualitative measures. Quantitatively, the Kappa coefficient was calculated at 0.684, indicating substantial inter-coder agreement. Qualitatively, an independent expert conducted a secondary review. Additional criteria, including procedural transparency and the quality of the selected studies, were considered to strengthen the trustworthiness of the findings.
Findings and Discussion
The meta-synthesis yielded 12 core categories, 35 secondary codes, and 144 primary codes, forming the basis of the proposed conceptual model of cognitive warfare. The model addresses twelve defining dimensions: characteristics, objectives, tools, operational levels, methods and strategies, indicators of implementation, consequences, countermeasures, target audiences, domains of conflict, related concepts, and national approaches to cognitive warfare.
Shannon entropy analysis revealed that certain components—such as “management and transformation of societal perception,” “influence on the general public,” “use of social media,” and “societal polarization”—exhibit the highest significance in the literature. These were identified as key conceptual elements of cognitive warfare.
Integrating the findings of the 31 studies, the following definition of cognitive warfare is proposed:
Cognitive warfare is a coordinated set of covert, virtual, fluid, and software-mediated actions that leverage “information as content” and “modern media as tools” to intentionally control and modify human cognitive capacities (mind, emotions, and subconscious). Its objectives include erasing historical memory, altering behavioral patterns, and ultimately imposing will upon the political and social systems of the target society.
Conclusion
The evolution of warfare demonstrates a persistent inclination toward imposing will upon adversaries without direct confrontation, a trend that has shifted from physical domains to informational and cognitive arenas. Cognitive warfare, as the advanced manifestation of this trend, utilizes information, modern media, and sophisticated technologies to deliberately influence perception, decision-making, and behavior within target societies, undermining social capital and public trust.
The conceptual model developed in this study provides a clear and practical framework for understanding cognitive warfare and lays the groundwork for further research on related concepts, countermeasures, and threat assessment. The findings indicate that cognitive warfare has become a strategic priority for major powers, playing a pivotal role in shaping political, social, and cultural systems.
Theoretically, this study represents a significant contribution to the literature by systematically conceptualizing the multidimensional nature of cognitive warfare within a structured, multi-level model using a meta-synthesis approach. Effective understanding and counteraction of this phenomenon require moving beyond a solely security-focused perspective and recognizing cognitive warfare as inherently interdisciplinary, integrating insights from cognitive science, social psychology, communication studies, technology, and political science.
From a practical perspective, the findings highlight the need to foster cognitive literacy at societal and governance levels. Key strategies include developing resilient networks against information manipulation, strengthening social trust, enhancing critical thinking education, and establishing ethical frameworks for the application of cognitive technologies.
Ultimately, the proposed conceptual model provides a validated framework to guide future research and serves as a foundation for national policy formulation in cognitive security, complementing existing cyber and psychological security strategies.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Modern Warfare
Cognitive Warfare
Information Manipulation
Meta-Synthesis

  • تاریخ دریافت 09 مرداد 1403
  • تاریخ بازنگری 18 شهریور 1403
  • تاریخ پذیرش 22 اسفند 1403